WELP that just happened! Honestly, I can't say I was surprised it happened. It was pretty obvious that everyone thought we were this tight group of 4 (Simone, Patrick, Cole, and I) and that we needed to be broken up at some point. I'm surprised they didn't come after us earlier, but oh well next best case scenario for them I suppose.
I'm gonna be a straight shooter right here right now; this might actually have been a beneficial thing for me. As of now, I've made moves and positioned myself pretty well; however, I have not really done much to make myself stand out against the crowd. If I made it to the end with say Patrick and Simone with no huge challenges, it would not have been fun (and remember, that's why I signed up to play). This way, at least I get to fight my way to the end tooth and nail and maybe even release a little inner Julie along the way.
I always knew Cole was playing for himself. From the moment we merged when I voted him, I knew that he was not someone who would just sit still. Remember, keep your friends close and your enemies closer. Well I kept Cole very close and in the end, it almost made me go home. It's a risky strategy, but one that I love initiating. He deserved to go home from that rock draw. Literally, he was the decider of his own fate by doing that. It's literally so poetic and it shows even luck can have a karma kick to it.
I honestly do not think that this could have worked out better. Sure, I may not make it to the end now, but if I do, I will definitely have a case to make to the jury. For one, now I can say that I never betrayed Ryan, Roark, or Matt and they all came after me first. I know Ryan and I get along swellingly and I know he would vote for me in the end if I somehow made it there. Oh, I should probably mention that Christina and I talked after the vote and discussed moving forward in the game together. She could flat out be bullshitting me, but right now, I believe it's my best option to work with Christina and battle it out in the end like real players. Is it likely I will lose? Very possibly, but if I am going to lose to any of these dumb trolls, I'd want it to be Christina since I feel she is the only one who may deserve it more than me. I believe she mentioned herself, Simone, and I as the Final 3 and I do believe this would be a great scenario. The three biggest threats in the end battling it out. There Jeff now you can't complain about goats who don't do anything.
Assuming I made it to the end, I think I would have a much better case than I did before this since now I am in an underdog position and juries love underdogs. If that is the final 3, here is how I believe each juror would vote:
Jonas - Definitely Christina, I think he's still mad that I betrayed him, but she did too so there may be a case for me (might just vote Simone since he never had a connection with her)
Ryan - Would vote me I have no doubt about it. We connnect so well and has said multiple times how he respects me.
Leif - If he shows up, will vote either myself or Christina. It's a toss-up.
Chrissy - Most likely Christina since I think she is cheering for her as the number one underdog right now; however, we did connect well so who knows.
Ali - Honestly, as close as her and Christina were, I think there could be a case for her voting me if I play it right. However, it is very likely she just votes for Christina since she didn't betray her.
Julie - Is hardcore cheering for Christna right now, but I think if I start becoming an outwardly sassy underdog on the forums and in tribal, I could turn her over to my side.
Cole - I believe he would vote me. I made him feel guilty for not wanting to go to rocks for me and I think he would do it as a sign of good gesture.
Patrick - If I tell Patrick before he goes home that people are voting him and then don't throw a vote his way, I think he will most likely vote for me. However, if I betray him, I have no doubt he would vote for Simone over me.so I will have to make sure he knows I didn't vote for him and he was going home either way.
Matt - Honestly, I see him voting for Christina, but I have no idea with him. Christina was close to him, but I could play the "she called you a loser" card and maybe he would sway to my side. He's a swing vote.
Roark - Also a swing vote and could go either way depending on the rest of the game. I want to say she may lean towards me, but that would just be me being biased.
So as of right now, if I had to guess, I would say I would get Patrick, Cole, and Ryan and Christina would get Ali, Jonas, Chrissy, and Julie. I think Leif, Matt, and Roark would be swing votes. All I would need would be five votes because if it's a tie, I have the utmost faith that Simone would vote for me. Obviously, all of this is just pleasant conjecturing, but if I make it to the end, I think I stand a fair chance.
Right now, I believe my best bet is to stick with Christina since we're the two biggest threats left in the game. As long as she's here, she will always have a target. She said she would use her idol on me, but I have no faith that she actually would lol so my fate lies with winning immunity. Ryan also said that he wants Christina gone, but right now, I don't trust him as far as I can throw him (which surprisingly is actually pretty far). Immunity is key for me.
Spradlin Out
